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Clermont vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clermont host Red Star in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Clermont at 1.04 goals for, 1.07 against; Red Star at 1.46 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Clermont slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Red Star to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Clermont
35%
Draws
46%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Red Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Clermont Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clermont Red Star
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Red Star
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Clermont
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Clermont
1:1
Sep 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Red Star
1:1
Mar 15, 2019 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Clermont
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clermont 32 / 100
Red Star 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clermont Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Clermont scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Red Star let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Clermont remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clermont VS Red Star
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clermont

(Home)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)