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Cleveland vs Lionsbridge

USA USA

US Open Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cleveland play Lionsbridge in the US Open Cup 2023. Lionsbridge are favorites here. Recently, Cleveland averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Lionsbridge averaged 3.53 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Cleveland won 1, Lionsbridge won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Cleveland and 1.99 for Lionsbridge. This points to a Lionsbridge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cleveland
15%
Draws
58%
Lionsbridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lionsbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Cleveland picked up more points recently compared to Lionsbridge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Cleveland Clean Sheet 10%
Lionsbridge Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cleveland Lionsbridge
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1 3.53
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2023 US Open Cup
Cleveland vs Lionsbridge
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cleveland Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvecko C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lionsbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cleveland 26 / 100
Lionsbridge 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cleveland Lionsbridge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lionsbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lionsbridge & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cleveland attacking → ← attacking Lionsbridge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cleveland scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lionsbridge let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cleveland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lionsbridge lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 69
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63