Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2009

Rochester New York

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cleveland play Rochester New York in the US Open Cup 2009. Rochester New York are favorites here. Recently, Cleveland averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Rochester New York averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Cleveland won 1, Rochester New York won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2009 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Cleveland and 1.50 for Rochester New York. This points to a Rochester New York double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Cleveland

15%

Draws

58%

Rochester New York

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochester New York

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Cleveland picked up more points recently compared to Rochester New York.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Cleveland Clean Sheet 16%

Rochester New York Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cleveland	Rochester New York
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	6	18
Draws	6	0
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2009 USL First Division

Rochester New York vs Cleveland

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Jun 16, 2009 US Open Cup

Cleveland vs Rochester New York

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jun 13, 2009 USL First Division

Cleveland vs Rochester New York

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

May 1, 2009 USL First Division

Cleveland vs Rochester New York

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cleveland 28 / 100

Rochester New York 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cleveland Rochester New York

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochester New York Win (2)

Secondary Pick Rochester New York & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cleveland attacking → ← attacking Rochester New York

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cleveland scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Rochester New York let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cleveland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rochester New York lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 54

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88