Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cliftonville vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Solitude, Belfast
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cliftonville host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Cliftonville have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Ballymena's 1.83 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Cliftonville have won 2 to Ballymena's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Cliftonville. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cliftonville
30%
Draws
23%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cliftonville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cliftonville have won more games recently than Ballymena.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cliftonville taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 17%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cliftonville Ballymena
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Ballymena
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Cliftonville
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Ballymena
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Ballymena
5:0
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Cliftonville
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cliftonville 39 / 100
Ballymena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cliftonville Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cliftonville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Cliftonville scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Ballymena let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Cliftonville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cliftonville VS Ballymena
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cliftonville

(Home)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 7

Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)