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Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Solitude
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Healy B.
39' Event
Gibson D.
44' Event
Heatley P.
Assist: Gibson D.

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cliftonville
33%
Draws
27%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cliftonville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cliftonville lately — more wins on the board than Carrick Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Cliftonville's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cliftonville have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 14%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cliftonville Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heatley P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cliftonville 39 / 100
Carrick Rangers 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cliftonville Carrick Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cliftonville's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Carrick Rangers has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cliftonville remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cliftonville VS Carrick Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne33227460:2273
2Glentoran33216663:3069
3Coleraine33205862:3165
4Linfield33188756:2462
5Cliftonville331381249:4847
6Dungannon331511740:5846
7Carrick Rangers331271449:5143
8Bangor FC331061738:5736
9Portadown331131936:5736
10Ballymena33971739:5034
11Crusaders33752138:7226
12Glenavon33812433:6325