Sport Picks
Cliftonville vs Coagh Utd
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2025/2026 Solitude, Belfast 
Match Events
25'
25'
Hale R.
29'
29'
Mallon B.
51'
51'
Robertson S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Cliftonville advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cliftonville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cliftonville carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Cliftonville a 51% chance of winning this.
- Cliftonville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cliftonville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 68%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cliftonville | Coagh Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Cliftonville vs Coagh Utd
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cliftonville Compare
Top Goalscorer Hale R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robertson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Coagh Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Mallon B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cliftonville 68 / 100
Coagh Utd 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cliftonville Coagh Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cliftonville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cliftonville scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Coagh Utd conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Coagh Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cliftonville VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cliftonville
(Home) 19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2 Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3 Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1 Portadown
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2 Dungannon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2 Glentoran
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1 Portadown
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2 Dungannon
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
25 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 2 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 4
Coagh Utd
(Away) 07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1 Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
19 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
