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Cliftonville vs Portadown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Solitude, Belfast
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cliftonville host Portadown in the NIFL Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Portadown have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Cliftonville have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Cliftonville have won 3 to Portadown's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.94, favoring Cliftonville. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cliftonville
20%
Draws
50%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portadown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cliftonville come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 20%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cliftonville Portadown
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Portadown
3:1
Mar 4, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Cliftonville
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Cliftonville
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Portadown
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Cliftonville
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cliftonville 36 / 100
Portadown 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cliftonville Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portadown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portadown conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cliftonville found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Cliftonville remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cliftonville VS Portadown
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cliftonville

(Home)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

Portadown

(Away)
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)