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Clivense vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Danieli N.
45' Event
Kocic M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Clivense and Brusaporto finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Clivense
15%
Draws
32%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clivense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Clivense Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Brusaporto
2:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Clivense
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Danieli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kocic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 42 / 100
Brusaporto 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clivense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Brusaporto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
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Brusaporto

(Away)
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)