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Stadium Background

Club America vs Philadelphia Union

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rodrigo Dourado
Assist: Raphael Veiga
22'
Zendejas A.
29'
Caceres S.

AI Match Summary

Club America play Philadelphia Union in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club America averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Philadelphia Union averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Club America won 3, Philadelphia Union won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Club America and 1.38 for Philadelphia Union. This points to a Club America double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Club America
11%
Draws
9%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Club America has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Philadelphia Union.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Club America.
  • Cup tournament structure in CONCACAF Champions Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Club America Clean Sheet 17%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Club America vs Philadelphia Union
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Club America
0:1
Sep 16, 2021 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Club America
0:2
Aug 13, 2021 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Club America vs Philadelphia Union
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Dourado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Philadelphia Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America 75 / 100
Philadelphia Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America Philadelphia Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club America scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Philadelphia Union let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Club America went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia Union lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club America VS Philadelphia Union
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1