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Club America W vs Toluca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Toluca W have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Club America W have conceded 1.3 and scored 3.39. Past meetings favor Club America W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 4:3. The numbers (3.06 xG vs 1.81) point toward Club America W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Club America W
20%
Draws
32%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Club America W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Club America W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Club America W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club America W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Club America W Clean Sheet 11%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America W Toluca W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 25 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 3.39 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Toluca W
4:3
May 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
1:7
Mar 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Toluca W
2:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
3:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America W 83 / 100
Toluca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America W Toluca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club America W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club America W scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Toluca W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Club America W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club America W VS Toluca W
4 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Club America W

(Home)
07 Nov
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 3
Club America W
01 Nov
Club America W
6 : 0
Atlante W
24 Oct
Atletico San Luis W
0 : 7
Club America W
19 Oct
Club America W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
Page 1 of 7

Toluca W

(Away)
06 Nov
Queretaro W
1 : 1
Toluca W
31 Oct
Toluca W
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
25 Oct
Cruz Azul W
1 : 2
Toluca W
20 Oct
Toluca W
0 : 0
Santos Laguna W
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monterrey W -
Pachuca W -
Tigres UANL W -
UNAM Pumas W -
Club America W -
Toluca W -
Guadalajara Chivas W -
Juarez W -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -