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Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Juarez W.
36'
Faggioli L.
61'
Sub
Bordon A. In: Arnay R.
Out: Bordon A.

AI Match Summary

Club Atletico Guemes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Atletico Guemes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Club Atletico Guemes
35%
Draws
56%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Maipu lately — more wins on the board than Club Atletico Guemes.
  • Deportivo Maipu are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Guemes Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
4:0
Apr 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Guemes 12 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Guemes Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Club Atletico Guemes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Guemes VS Deportivo Maipu
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Guemes

(Home)
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)