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Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sanchez J.
Assist: Veliz D.
15' Event
Ramirez S.
38'
Sub
Veliz D. In: Farrera S.
Out: Veliz D.

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Club Atletico Guemes
35%
Draws
65%
Tristan Suarez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tristan Suarez have won more games recently than Club Atletico Guemes.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Tristan Suarez taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 19%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Guemes Tristan Suarez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.69 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
Tristan Suarez 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Guemes Tristan Suarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Club Atletico Guemes scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Tristan Suarez has conceded goals in 34% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Guemes VS Tristan Suarez
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Guemes

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Tristan Suarez

(Away)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)