Sport Picks
Club Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Morelos, Morelia 
Match Events
5'
5'
Aguilar D.
14'
14'
Uribe Y.
15'
15'
De Buen D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Club Atletico Morelia and Correcaminos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correcaminos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Correcaminos haven't matched Club Atletico Morelia's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Club Atletico Morelia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 20%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Atletico Morelia | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos
3:2
Oct 11, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Club Atletico Morelia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Atletico Morelia Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Correcaminos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandoval T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mendoza B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Atletico Morelia 58 / 100
Correcaminos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Atletico Morelia Correcaminos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Atletico Morelia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Club Atletico Morelia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Correcaminos conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Club Atletico Morelia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Club Atletico Morelia VS Correcaminos
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Atletico Morelia
(Home) 10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
09 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Cancun
Page 1 of 3
Correcaminos
(Away) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
