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Club Atletico Morelia vs Irapuato

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Morelos
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Elbis
60'
Figueroa B.
63'
Moreno G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Club Atletico Morelia
44%
Draws
20%
Irapuato
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Irapuato.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 16%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Morelia Irapuato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Irapuato
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Nov 20, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Irapuato
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:3
Jan 16, 2004 Liga MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Irapuato
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Morelia 36 / 100
Irapuato 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Morelia Irapuato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Morelia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Irapuato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Club Atletico Morelia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Morelia VS Irapuato
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Jaiba Brava4
Leones Negros2
Atlante1
Tepatitlan de Morelos2
Irapuato3
Zacatecas Mineros3
Cancun2
Club Atletico Morelia4
Semi-finals
Jaiba Brava2
Tepatitlan de Morelos0
Irapuato1
Club Atletico Morelia1
Final
Jaiba Brava1
Irapuato0