Sport Picks
Club Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Morelos, Morelia 
Match Events
7'
7'
Zamora D.
Assist: Aguilar D.
9'
9'
Freyfeld J.
30'
30'
Ramirez M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Club Atletico Morelia and Tlaxcala finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Club Atletico Morelia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Club Atletico Morelia a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 16%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Atletico Morelia | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Atletico Morelia Compare
Top Goalscorer Zamora D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Tlaxcala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Atletico Morelia 36 / 100
Tlaxcala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Atletico Morelia Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tlaxcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Club Atletico Morelia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Club Atletico Morelia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Club Atletico Morelia VS Tlaxcala
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Atletico Morelia
(Home) 04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
09 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Cancun
Page 1 of 3
Tlaxcala
(Away) 04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
