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Club Brugge vs Atl. Madrid

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alvarez J.
(Penalty)
22'
Leko I.
45' Event
Lookman A.
Assist: Griezmann A.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Club Brugge and Atl. Madrid finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club Brugge
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Madrid
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Brugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Club Brugge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Club Brugge taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Club Brugge Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Brugge Atl. Madrid
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 3.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Club Brugge
4:1
Feb 18, 2026 Champions League
Club Brugge vs Atl. Madrid
3:3
Oct 12, 2022 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Club Brugge
0:0
Oct 4, 2022 Champions League
Club Brugge vs Atl. Madrid
2:0
Dec 11, 2018 Champions League
Club Brugge vs Atl. Madrid
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyedika R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tresoldi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Atl. Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Lookman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Brugge 85 / 100
Atl. Madrid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Brugge Atl. Madrid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Brugge found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Club Brugge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Brugge VS Atl. Madrid
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Monaco4
PSG5
Chelsea-
TBD-
Galatasaray7
Juventus5
Liverpool-
TBD-
Benfica1
Real Madrid3
Manchester City-
TBD-
Dortmund3
Atalanta4
Bayern Munich-
TBD-
Qarabag Agdam3
Newcastle Utd9
Barcelona-
TBD-
Club Brugge4
Atl. Madrid7
Tottenham-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt5
Inter2
Sporting CP-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus0
Bayer Leverkusen2
Arsenal-
TBD-
1/8-finals
PSG8
Chelsea2
Galatasaray1
Liverpool4
Real Madrid5
Manchester City1
Atalanta2
Bayern Munich10
Newcastle Utd3
Barcelona8
Atl. Madrid7
Tottenham5
Bodo/Glimt3
Sporting CP5
Bayer Leverkusen1
Arsenal3
Quarter-finals
PSG4
Liverpool0
Real Madrid4
Bayern Munich6
Barcelona2
Atl. Madrid3
Sporting CP0
Arsenal1
Semi-finals
PSG6
Bayern Munich5
Atl. Madrid1
Arsenal2
Final
PSG2
Arsenal1