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Club Brugge vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Brugge play St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Brugge averaged 2.65 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. St. Truiden averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Club Brugge won 3, St. Truiden won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Club Brugge and 1.31 for St. Truiden. This points to a Club Brugge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Club Brugge
15%
Draws
37%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Brugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Brugge picked up more points recently compared to St. Truiden.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Club Brugge Clean Sheet 18%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Brugge St. Truiden
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.65 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge vs St. Truiden
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Club Brugge
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Club Brugge
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge vs St. Truiden
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Club Brugge
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Tresoldi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbs C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Brugge 47 / 100
St. Truiden 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Brugge St. Truiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Club Brugge or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Brugge attacking → ← attacking St. Truiden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Brugge scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

St. Truiden let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Club Brugge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Truiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 50
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Brugge1081132:957
2Royale Union SG1062216:1053
3St. Truiden1042414:1143
4Anderlecht1032516:2333
5Gent100644:1429
6KV Mechelen101369:2429