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Club Leon U21 vs Club America U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon U21 host Club America U21 in the Liga MX U21. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Club America U21 have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Club Leon U21 have conceded 1 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Club Leon U21 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.13, favoring Club Leon U21. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Club Leon U21
15%
Draws
32%
Club America U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Leon U21 have won more games recently than Club America U21.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Club America U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 Club America U21
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 17
Draws 0 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Club America U21
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club America U21 vs Club Leon U21
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 76 / 100
Club America U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 Club America U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Club America U21 conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Club Leon U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club Leon U21's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS Club America U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 6

Club America U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
05 Sept
Club America U21
4 : 3
Club Tijuana U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)