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Club Leon U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon U21 host Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Club Leon U21 at 1.39 goals for, 1.14 against; Guadalajara Chivas U21 at 1.61 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas U21 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back Guadalajara Chivas U21 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Club Leon U21
15%
Draws
34%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Club Leon U21 have produced (1.39).
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 18 18
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club Leon U21
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon U21 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Guadalajara Chivas U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Club Leon U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon U21

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Leon U21
1 : 4
Toluca U21
20 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
3 : 1
Club Leon U21
17 Oct
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Club America U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
31 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21
24 Oct
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21
20 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 5
Tigres UANL U21
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 14 14 0 0 35:10 39
2 Club Leon U21 14 11 0 3 25:18 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 15 8 0 7 23:25 25
4 Club America U21 14 8 0 6 22:18 24
5 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
6 Club Tijuana U21 14 8 0 6 20:21 24
7 Monterrey U21 14 8 0 6 31:22 23
8 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
9 Atletico San Luis U21 15 8 0 7 30:31 22
10 Juarez U21 15 7 0 8 17:19 21
11 Santos Laguna U21 14 7 0 7 17:19 21
12 Atlante U21 15 7 0 8 23:28 21
13 Pachuca U21 15 5 0 10 18:23 20
14 Necaxa U21 14 7 0 7 16:20 19
15 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 15 5 0 10 20:27 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 14 6 0 8 22:27 14
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)