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Club Leon U21 vs Necaxa U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Romero P.
56' Event
Guerrero H.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Club Leon U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Club Leon U21
15%
Draws
32%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Leon U21 come out ahead of Necaxa U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Club Leon U21 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Necaxa U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:2
Aug 15, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 95 / 100
Necaxa U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club Leon U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Necaxa U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS Necaxa U21
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon U21

(Home)
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)