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Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
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Match Events

2' Event
11' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Club Leon U21 and Toluca U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Club Leon U21
15%
Draws
53%
Toluca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toluca U21 come out ahead of Club Leon U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Toluca U21 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 Toluca U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 22
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.34 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Club Leon U21
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 10 / 100
Toluca U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 Toluca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Club Leon U21's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Toluca U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Club Leon U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS Toluca U21
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon U21

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Leon U21
1 : 4
Toluca U21
20 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
3 : 1
Club Leon U21
17 Oct
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Club America U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
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Toluca U21

(Away)
24 Oct
Club Leon U21
1 : 4
Toluca U21
21 Oct
Toluca U21
5 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
17 Oct
Toluca U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 14 14 0 0 35:10 39
2 Club Leon U21 14 11 0 3 25:18 29
3 Club America U21 14 8 0 6 22:18 24
4 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
5 Club Tijuana U21 13 8 0 5 20:18 24
6 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
7 Atletico San Luis U21 15 8 0 7 30:31 22
8 Guadalajara Chivas U21 14 7 0 7 21:24 22
9 Juarez U21 15 7 0 8 17:19 21
10 Santos Laguna U21 14 7 0 7 17:19 21
11 Atlante U21 14 7 0 7 22:26 21
12 Monterrey U21 13 7 0 6 28:22 20
13 Necaxa U21 14 7 0 7 16:20 19
14 Pachuca U21 14 4 0 10 16:22 17
15 Tigres UANL U21 14 5 0 9 19:25 16
16 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 14 6 0 8 22:27 14
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)