Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Leon U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026 Estadio La Esmeralda Cancha Sintetica
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Cervantes L.
30' Event
Jimenez N.
80' Event
Almanza R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Club Leon U21 and UNAM Pumas U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Leon U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Club Leon U21
28%
Draws
22%
UNAM Pumas U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Club Leon U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas U21's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Club Leon U21 have produced (1.13).
  • Win probability leans Club Leon U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 16%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 UNAM Pumas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 48 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 UNAM Pumas U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UNAM Pumas U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Club Leon U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tigres UANL U2117140336:1343
2Pachuca U2117130438:1239
3Santos Laguna U211790830:1830
4Cruz Azul U2117100721:2029
5Toluca U2117100722:1728
6Juarez U211780914:1227
7UNAM Pumas U211790826:3027
8Club Tijuana U211780923:2426
9Guadalajara Chivas U211790822:2326
10Puebla U2117100713:1826
11Club Leon U211790826:2425
12Necaxa U211790813:1922
13Club America U2117601114:2221
14Monterrey U2117701026:3320
15Mazatlan FC U2117601121:2819
16Atletico San Luis U2117601123:3219
17Atlas U2117701022:3318
18Queretaro U2117301416:2814