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Club Leon vs Atlas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon play Atlas in the Liga MX. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Leon averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Atlas averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Club Leon won 3, Atlas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Club Leon and 1.19 for Atlas. This points to a Club Leon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Club Leon
22%
Draws
18%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Club Leon demonstrates higher offensive output (2.75 avg goals) than Atlas (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Club Leon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 68%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Atlas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlas
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Leon
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Leon
1:2
Oct 24, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlas
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Leon
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 68 / 100
Atlas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Atlas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Atlas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Club Leon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atlas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Atlas
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos Laguna00000:00
2Monterrey00000:00
3Cruz Azul00000:00
4Atlas00000:00
5Atletico San Luis00000:00
6Guadalajara Chivas00000:00
7Necaxa00000:00
8Pachuca00000:00
9Toluca00000:00
10Atlante00000:00
11Club America00000:00
12Puebla00000:00
13Tigres UANL00000:00
14UNAM Pumas00000:00
15Queretaro00000:00
16Club Tijuana00000:00
17Club Leon00000:00
18Juarez00000:00