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Club Leon vs Atlas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lopes L.
27' Event
Cambindo D.
42'
Cambindo D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Club Leon and Atlas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Leon
35%
Draws
25%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 68%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Atlas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlas
2:3
Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlas
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Leon
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Leon
1:2
Oct 24, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Atlas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambindo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortizo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 59 / 100
Atlas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Atlas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Atlas let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Club Leon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Atlas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

Atlas

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)