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Club Leon vs Juarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Vegas S.
46'
Sub
Cortizo J. In: Dominguez Chonteco J. P.
Out: Cortizo J.
46'
Sub
Vegas S. In: Reyes S.
Out: Vegas S.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Club Leon
15%
Draws
20%
Juarez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon lately — more wins on the board than Juarez.
  • Club Leon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Club Leon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Juarez
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Juarez
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Juarez
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Club Leon
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Juarez
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Club Leon
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 85 / 100
Juarez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Juarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Juarez has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Club Leon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Juarez
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
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Juarez

(Away)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)