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Club Leon vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Beltran Cruz F.
32'
Guevara J.
34'
Idrissi O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Club Leon and Pachuca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Club Leon
30%
Draws
37%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Leon come out ahead of Pachuca on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Pachuca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Pachuca
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Club Leon
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Pachuca
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Club Leon
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Pachuca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcila D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pachuca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 24 / 100
Pachuca 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pachuca let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Club Leon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Pachuca
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
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Pachuca

(Away)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
4 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
5 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
6 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
7 Club Leon 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
8 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
9 Atlas 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
10 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
11 UNAM Pumas 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
16 Atletico San Luis 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 6:13 4
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)