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Club Leon vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Yedlin D.
21' Event
Cambindo D.
Assist: Moreno I.
27'
Sub
Spierings S. In: Ruiz P.
Out: Spierings S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Club Leon
20%
Draws
22%
Real Salt Lake
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Leon have won more games recently than Real Salt Lake.
  • Model gives Club Leon a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Club Leon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Salt Lake, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Real Salt Lake
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Leagues Cup
Club Leon vs Real Salt Lake
3:0
Aug 5, 2023 Leagues Cup
Club Leon vs Real Salt Lake
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambindo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vegas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Salt Lake Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 49 / 100
Real Salt Lake 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Salt Lake conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Club Leon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Real Salt Lake
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

Real Salt Lake

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Toluca 2
Austin FC 0
Club Leon 3
Real Salt Lake 0
Club America 2
Columbus Crew 0
Monterrey 2
Chicago Fire 1
Semi-finals
Toluca 2
Club Leon 0
Club America 2
Monterrey 3
Final
Toluca 2
Monterrey 0
Club Leon 1
Club America 0