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Club Leon W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W play Pachuca W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Leon W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Pachuca W averaged 2.53 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Club Leon W won 0, Pachuca W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 5:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.83 for Club Leon W and 2.42 for Pachuca W. This points to a Pachuca W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Club Leon W
15%
Draws
55%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Club Leon W picked up more points recently compared to Pachuca W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.83 vs 2.42 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
5:4
Oct 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Pachuca W
2:5
Feb 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Pachuca W
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
1:0
May 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrientos Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Delgadillo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 29 / 100
Pachuca W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Pachuca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pachuca W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Leon W attacking → ← attacking Pachuca W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Pachuca W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Club Leon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pachuca W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 61
2.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582