Sport Picks

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Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W play Tigres UANL W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Leon W averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Tigres UANL W averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Club Leon W won 0, Tigres UANL W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Club Leon W and 2.31 for Tigres UANL W. This points to a Tigres UANL W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Club Leon W
44%
Draws
20%
Tigres UANL W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Club Leon W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Tigres UANL W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Club Leon W
9:0
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
2:2
Sep 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Club Leon W
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jheniffer
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 34 / 100
Tigres UANL W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Tigres UANL W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tigres UANL W let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Club Leon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tigres UANL W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Tigres UANL W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624