Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Leon W vs Toluca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Soto K.
42' Event
Garcia M.
45' Event
Cortes S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club Leon W
6%
Draws
4%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Leon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Toluca W have won more games recently than Club Leon W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Club Leon W taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Toluca W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Toluca W
3:3
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
1:0
Jan 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Toluca W
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Toluca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erceg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 83 / 100
Toluca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Toluca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Toluca W conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Club Leon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Toluca W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624