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Club Nacional de Football W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
29' Event
32' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Estudiantes de Caracas W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Club Nacional de Football W
39%
Draws
31%
Estudiantes de Caracas W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes de Caracas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Estudiantes de Caracas W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes de Caracas W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Club Nacional de Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Estudiantes de Caracas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional de Football W Estudiantes de Caracas W
Matches Played 24 23
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 3.25 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2012 Copa Libertadores Women
Club Nacional de Football W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W
0:2
Nov 17, 2011 Copa Libertadores Women
Club Nacional de Football W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional de Football W 29 / 100
Estudiantes de Caracas W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional de Football W Estudiantes de Caracas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estudiantes de Caracas W conceded in 83% of 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Estudiantes de Caracas W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Club Nacional de Football W scored in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional de Football W VS Estudiantes de Caracas W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.17
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional de Football W

(Home)
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
06 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
03 Oct
Club Nacional de Football W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
12 Oct
America de Cali W
4 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
09 Oct
Boca Juniors W
5 : 1
Club Nacional de Football W
Page 1 of 5

Estudiantes de Caracas W

(Away)
11 Oct
Barcelona SC W
3 : 2
Estudiantes de Caracas W
08 Oct
Palmeiras W
6 : 0
Estudiantes de Caracas W
05 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
0 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
19 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
2 : 0
Mundo Futuro W
16 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
1 : 4
Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo W32109:37
2Universidad de Asuncion W31207:35
3Duque de Caxias W31115:24
4Sport Girls W30031:140
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes de Caracas W320113:46
2Santos W32018:96
3Club Nacional de Football W31118:64
4Gerimex W30121:111
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Jose W32107:47
2Formas Intimas W31119:94
3Boca Juniors W31026:63
4Deportivo Quito W31025:83
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams