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Club Nacional vs Durazno

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2024 Gran Parque Central
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sanabria L.
26' Event
Rodriguez N.
30' Event
Petit G.

AI Match Summary

Club Nacional in this Copa Uruguay 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Nacional
33%
Draws
27%
Durazno
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Durazno haven't matched Club Nacional's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Club Nacional's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Durazno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Durazno
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Club Nacional vs Durazno
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanabria L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Durazno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 50 / 100
Durazno 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Durazno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durazno has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Club Nacional found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Club Nacional stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Frontera Rivera1
Club Nacional5
Durazno2
Uruguay Montevideo FC1
Litoral Paysandu1
Plaza Colonia3
Piriapolis-
Penarol-
Paso de la Arena0
Montevideo City2
Rio Negro SJ-
Danubio-
18 de Julio FB-
CA Cerro-
Rincon-
Progreso-
Deportivo Colonia1
Juventud2
San Carlos0
Albion2
Villa Espanola-
Wanderers-
Atletico Juanico0
Boston River2
Paysandu Bella Vista0
Defensor Sp.3
Bristol1
Racing Montevideo2
Ferro Carril2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Melo Wanderers-
Cerro Largo-
1/8-finals
Club Nacional4
Durazno0
Plaza Colonia1
Piriapolis0
Montevideo City5
Rio Negro SJ1
18 de Julio FB3
Rincon2
Juventud0
Albion2
Villa Espanola0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.1
Racing Montevideo0
Ferro Carril2
Melo Wanderers1
Quarter-finals
Club Nacional4
Plaza Colonia0
Montevideo City4
18 de Julio FB0
Albion0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.6
Ferro Carril0
Semi-finals
Club Nacional4
Montevideo City0
Boston River0
Defensor Sp.1
Final
Club Nacional2
Defensor Sp.3