Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Juventud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo 
Match Events
3'
3'
Larregui B.
Assist: Peralta R.
6'
6'
Rolon K.
9'
9'
Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Club Nacional and Juventud finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
30%
32%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Club Nacional come out ahead of Juventud on wins alone.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Nacional | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calvo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Juventud Compare
Top Goalscorer Larregui B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alaniz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Nacional 41 / 100
Juventud 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Nacional Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Club Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Club Nacional scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Juventud has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Club Nacional VS Juventud
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Nacional
(Home) 05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
27 Aug
Club Nacional
0 : 0 Albion
23 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 0 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Juventud
(Away) 11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0 Racing Montevideo
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1 Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0 CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1 Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
