Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Miramar
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 Gran Parque Central 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Club Nacional host Miramar in the Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Club Nacional have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Miramar's 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Club Nacional slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Club Nacional. Club Nacional in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Club Nacional has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Miramar.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Nacional Compare
Miramar Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Club Nacional scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Miramar let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Club Nacional went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Miramar lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 26 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 24 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Danubio | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 21 |
| 10 | Progreso | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | 16 |
| 13 | River Plate Montevideo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | 14 |
| 14 | Miramar | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | 7 |