Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Progreso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Club Nacional and Progreso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Club Nacional a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Club Nacional here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Nacional | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Nacional Compare
Progreso Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progreso has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Club Nacional's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Club Nacional stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Club Nacional
(Home)Progreso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
