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Club Oriental De Futbol vs Fenix Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rigoleto M.
51' Event
Fernandez F.
60' Event
Guerrero S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Club Oriental De Futbol and Fenix finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Oriental De Futbol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Club Oriental De Futbol
20%
Draws
23%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Oriental De Futbol come out ahead of Fenix on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Club Oriental De Futbol taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Oriental De Futbol Fenix
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Fenix
3:2
Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Fenix
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigoleto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paiva C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Oriental De Futbol 68 / 100
Fenix 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Oriental De Futbol Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Oriental De Futbol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Oriental De Futbol scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Fenix let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Club Oriental De Futbol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Oriental De Futbol VS Fenix
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Oriental De Futbol

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 7

Fenix

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
5 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
10 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
11 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)