Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Oriental De Futbol vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Motta B.
36' Event
Suarez F.
90' Event
Da Silva E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Club Oriental De Futbol
30%
Draws
23%
Racing Montevideo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Montevideo have managed 1 goals a game lately — Club Oriental De Futbol are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Club Oriental De Futbol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Racing Montevideo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Oriental De Futbol Racing Montevideo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Racing Montevideo
1:2
Oct 30, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Racing Montevideo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Motta B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Oriental De Futbol 86 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Oriental De Futbol Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Oriental De Futbol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Oriental De Futbol scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Racing Montevideo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Club Oriental De Futbol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Oriental De Futbol VS Racing Montevideo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Oriental De Futbol

(Home)
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

Racing Montevideo

(Away)
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Wanderers 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)