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Club River Plate vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025 Estadio River Plate
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Riquelme W.
11' Event
Riquelme W.
17' Event
Britez E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Club River Plate and Guairena FC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guairena FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Club River Plate
39%
Draws
30%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guairena FC come out ahead of Club River Plate on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Club River Plate Clean Sheet 10%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club River Plate Guairena FC
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Club River Plate vs Guairena FC
2:4
Jun 22, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Club River Plate
0:1
Oct 3, 2021 Copa de Primera
Club River Plate vs Guairena FC
1:1
Jul 25, 2021 Copa de Primera
Guairena FC vs Club River Plate
1:2
May 10, 2021 Copa de Primera
Guairena FC vs Club River Plate
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club River Plate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Balbuena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club River Plate 30 / 100
Guairena FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club River Plate Guairena FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guairena FC let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Club River Plate's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Club River Plate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club River Plate VS Guairena FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926