Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Tijuana U20 vs Necaxa U20

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Tijuana U20 play Necaxa U20 in the Liga MX U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Tijuana U20 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Necaxa U20 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Club Tijuana U20 won 1, Necaxa U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 3, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Club Tijuana U20 and 1.19 for Necaxa U20. This points to a Necaxa U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Club Tijuana U20
31%
Draws
37%
Necaxa U20
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Necaxa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Tijuana U20 picked up more points recently compared to Necaxa U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Club Tijuana U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana U20 Necaxa U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2023 Liga MX U20
Necaxa U20 vs Club Tijuana U20
1:0
Sep 18, 2022 Liga MX U20
Club Tijuana U20 vs Necaxa U20
2:3
Feb 18, 2022 Liga MX U20
Club Tijuana U20 vs Necaxa U20
2:1
Sep 28, 2021 Liga MX U20
Necaxa U20 vs Club Tijuana U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leyva C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Egana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Necaxa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedroza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana U20 33 / 100
Necaxa U20 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana U20 Necaxa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Necaxa U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Tijuana U20 attacking → ← attacking Necaxa U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Tijuana U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Necaxa U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Club Tijuana U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Necaxa U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 35
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pachuca U2017123235:1639
2Atlas U2017113330:1736
3Tigres UANL U201796226:1433
4Club America U201787234:1931
5Club Leon U201793530:2530
6UNAM Pumas U201792626:1729
7Puebla U201776430:2727
8Santos Laguna U201775532:2726
9Juarez U201773721:2624
10Guadalajara Chivas U201748523:2120
11Mazatlan U201762929:3420
12Necaxa U201754829:3019
13Cruz Azul U201753917:2118
14Monterrey U201753925:3018
15Atletico San Luis U2017521025:4517
16Toluca U2017341015:2913
17Club Tijuana U201718821:3511
18Queretaro U2017161016:319