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Club Tijuana vs Atlas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mmaee R.
Assist: Zenon K.
22' Event
El Ghezouani M.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Rivero I.
Assist: Preciado A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Atlas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Club Tijuana
35%
Draws
32%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Club Tijuana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 13%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana Atlas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Atlas
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Club Tijuana
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Atlas
2:0
Mar 10, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Atlas
3:4
Nov 25, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Atlas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monzon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana 40 / 100
Atlas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana Atlas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Club Tijuana found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atlas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Club Tijuana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana VS Atlas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana

(Home)
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Atlas

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)