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Club Tijuana vs Club Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Arcila D.
43'
Colula B.
44' Event
El Ghezouani M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Club Leon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Tijuana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Club Tijuana
35%
Draws
40%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Club Tijuana haven't matched Club Leon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Club Tijuana's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Club Tijuana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 15%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana Club Leon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Club Leon
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Club Tijuana
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Club Leon
5:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Club Tijuana
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Club Leon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana 35 / 100
Club Leon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Tijuana scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Club Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Club Tijuana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana VS Club Leon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana

(Home)
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)