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Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Rivero I.
Assist: Mora G.
45' Event
Ibanez N.
Assist: Romero L.
46'
Sub
Ortiz Orozco P. N. In: Vega A.
Out: Ortiz Orozco P. N.

AI Match Summary

Club Tijuana in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Tijuana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Club Tijuana
30%
Draws
39%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruz Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cruz Azul lately — more wins on the board than Club Tijuana.
  • Club Tijuana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 14%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana Cruz Azul
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mora G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana 39 / 100
Cruz Azul 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Tijuana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Club Tijuana's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Club Tijuana remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana VS Cruz Azul
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul

(Away)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)