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Club Tijuana vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Tijuana host Puebla in the Liga MX. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Puebla have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Club Tijuana have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Club Tijuana have won 2 to Puebla's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.69) back Club Tijuana to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Tijuana
20%
Draws
40%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Tijuana lately — more wins on the board than Puebla.
  • Win probability leans Club Tijuana's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana Puebla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Puebla
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club Tijuana
4:3
Feb 22, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club Tijuana
2:0
Nov 11, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Puebla
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Puebla
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana 40 / 100
Puebla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puebla conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Club Tijuana scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Puebla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana VS Puebla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)