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Club Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Calicho J.
Own Goal
40' Event
Dorrego H.
Penalty Missed
44' Event
Rodriguez H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Club Universitario de Vinto in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Universitario de Vinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Club Universitario de Vinto
15%
Draws
57%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente have won more games recently than Club Universitario de Vinto.
  • Win probability leans Club Universitario de Vinto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Club Universitario de Vinto Clean Sheet 12%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Universitario de Vinto Independiente
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:1
Dec 10, 2025 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente
2:3
Jul 15, 2025 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Club Universitario de Vinto
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Club Universitario de Vinto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Universitario de Vinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Calicho J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuellar G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Universitario de Vinto 83 / 100
Independiente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Universitario de Vinto Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Universitario de Vinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Club Universitario de Vinto's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Club Universitario de Vinto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Universitario de Vinto VS Independiente
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Universitario de Vinto

(Home)
10 Oct
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 3
Real Oruro
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Independiente

(Away)
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Oriente Petrolero 21 10 3 8 37:27 33
5 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 21 7 3 11 35:51 24
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 21 6 2 13 31:46 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 21 5 3 13 27:42 18
15 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)