Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

2 - 1

Bataguassu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Clube de Regatas Aquidauana and Bataguassu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

33%

Draws

27%

Bataguassu

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bataguassu come out ahead of Clube de Regatas Aquidauana on wins alone.
40% — that's where the model lands on Clube de Regatas Aquidauana taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 14%

Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Clube de Regatas Aquidauana	Bataguassu
Matches Played	19	25
Wins	9	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense

Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Bataguassu

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sep 21, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 39 / 100

Bataguassu 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Bataguassu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Bataguassu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Bataguassu

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bataguassu	10	7	2	1	27:9	23
2	Clube de Regatas Aquidauana	10	7	2	1	23:7	23
3	Maracaju	10	4	4	2	12:13	16
4	Comercial MS	10	2	4	4	12:17	10
5	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	10	2	0	8	11:25	6
6	Sao Gabriel MS	10	1	2	7	6:20	5