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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Corumbaense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
30%
Draws
34%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana at 1.38 per game, Corumbaense at 1.
  • Model gives Clube de Regatas Aquidauana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 19%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Corumbaense
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Corumbaense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 36 / 100
Corumbaense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Corumbaense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Corumbaense
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Home)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 4

Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)