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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Costa Rica

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Sul-Matogrossense
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana host Costa Rica in the Sul-Matogrossense. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Costa Rica have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Clube de Regatas Aquidauana have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Clube de Regatas Aquidauana have won 0 to Costa Rica's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.00) point toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana. Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6%
Draws
4%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Costa Rica (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Costa Rica
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Costa Rica
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 85 / 100
Costa Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Costa Rica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Costa Rica
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137