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Clyde vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 New Douglas Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clyde play Hamilton in the League One 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Clyde averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Hamilton averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Clyde won 0, Hamilton won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Clyde and 2.00 for Hamilton. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Clyde
23%
Draws
45%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Clyde picked up more points recently compared to Hamilton.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Clyde Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clyde Hamilton
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Clyde
4:3
May 12, 2026 League One
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:1
Jul 15, 2023 League Cup
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:3
Jan 10, 2023 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Clyde
3:2
Jul 17, 2019 League Cup
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clyde Compare

Top Goalscorer McGinlay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer McKinstry S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clyde 31 / 100
Hamilton 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clyde Hamilton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hamilton or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Clyde attacking → ← attacking Hamilton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clyde scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Hamilton let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Clyde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 48
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38