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CMD San Juan vs San Roque de Cadiz

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CMD San Juan play San Roque de Cadiz in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016. CMD San Juan are favorites here. Recently, CMD San Juan averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. San Roque de Cadiz averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, CMD San Juan won 2, San Roque de Cadiz won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for CMD San Juan and 1.05 for San Roque de Cadiz. This points to a CMD San Juan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
CMD San Juan
17%
Draws
27%
San Roque de Cadiz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CMD San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • CMD San Juan picked up more points recently compared to San Roque de Cadiz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 22%
San Roque de Cadiz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CMD San Juan San Roque de Cadiz
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.07 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs San Roque de Cadiz
3:0
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs CMD San Juan
0:0
Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs San Roque de Cadiz
2:1
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs CMD San Juan
1:0
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs CMD San Juan
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CMD San Juan 55 / 100
San Roque de Cadiz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CMD San Juan San Roque de Cadiz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (1)
Secondary Pick CMD San Juan & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CMD San Juan attacking → ← attacking San Roque de Cadiz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CMD San Juan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

San Roque de Cadiz let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CMD San Juan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Roque de Cadiz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cordoba B40274990:4285
2Sanluqueno402310771:3479
3CD San Fernando402112769:3075
4CD Alcala402110959:3373
5CD Gerena4016131165:4661
6AD Ceuta4014161047:4358
7Arcos CF4015131244:4358
8Sevilla C4013161143:4455
9Castilleja CF4015101549:5455
10Los Barrios401671754:5655
11CD Guadalcacin4013151242:5054
12Ecija4014101658:5452
13CD Utrera4014101670:7652
14San Roque de Cadiz4012141446:5250
15Lebrijana4013101745:5949
16Cabecense4012131549:5749
17Coria C.F.4010181238:3948
18CMD San Juan401462042:5348
19Conil401092141:6539
20Rotena40992243:7336
21Ciudad de Lucena40273119:8113