Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coagh Utd vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Coagh Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Coagh Utd
15%
Draws
36%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Coagh Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coagh Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Coagh Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymoney, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coagh Utd Ballymoney
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.73 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Irish Cup
Coagh Utd vs Ballymoney
6:1
Mar 6, 2010 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Ballymoney
2:2
Oct 10, 2009 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Coagh Utd
0:1
Feb 10, 2009 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Coagh Utd
0:1
Aug 2, 2008 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Ballymoney
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coagh Utd 84 / 100
Ballymoney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coagh Utd Ballymoney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coagh Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymoney let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Coagh Utd scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ballymoney has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coagh Utd VS Ballymoney
3.38 Goals Scored 1.29
2 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Coagh Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2
Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6

Ballymoney

(Away)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
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Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
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Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
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Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
TBD -
Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
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Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
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Tobermore -
Banbridge -
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Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
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Queens University -
Dergview -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
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Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dungannon -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
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TBD -
Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
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TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1