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Coagh Utd vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cherry K.
56' Event
Roy B.
63' Event
Kelso A.

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this Irish League Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coagh Utd
20%
Draws
40%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Coagh Utd.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Carrick Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carrick Rangers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coagh Utd Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.73 2.39
Goals Conceded 2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2014 Irish League Cup
Coagh Utd vs Carrick Rangers
1:3
Mar 15, 2014 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Coagh Utd
1:0
Dec 7, 2013 Irish Cup
Coagh Utd vs Carrick Rangers
0:2
Aug 10, 2013 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Carrick Rangers
1:6
Apr 23, 2013 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Coagh Utd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coagh Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherry K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roy B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coagh Utd 30 / 100
Carrick Rangers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coagh Utd Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Coagh Utd scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Carrick Rangers conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Carrick Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carrick Rangers
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coagh Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2
Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Moyola 2
Sport & Leisure 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 2
Loughgall 8
PSNI 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ards -
Ballyclare 1
Limavady 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Newington FC 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Dundela -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Annagh 4
Dergview 2
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glebe 4
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portstewart 5
Queens University 0
TBD -
Bangor FC -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymoney 0
Dollingstown 0
Institute 2
Glenavon 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Moyola 1
Glentoran 2
Dungannon 1
Loughgall 0
PSNI 1
Ards 4
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Newington FC 0
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 6
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda 4
Donegal 0
Annagh 2
Portadown 5
Crusaders 6
Glebe 1
Larne 0
Coleraine 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Warrenpoint 1
Portstewart 0
Bangor FC 2
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 0
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 5
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Knockbreda 1
Portadown 3
Crusaders 3
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Bangor FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Glentoran 1
Dungannon 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 0
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 4
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Bangor FC 3
Final
Ballymena 2
Cliftonville 3